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1. Identity statement
Reference TypeJournal Article
Sitemtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br
Holder Codeisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Identifier8JMKD3MGP3W34R/3S9T975
Repositorysid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2018/11.26.15.41   (restricted access)
Last Update2018:11.26.15.41.29 (UTC) simone
Metadata Repositorysid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2018/11.26.15.41.29
Metadata Last Update2021:07.28.21.56.18 (UTC) administrator
DOI10.1073/pnas.1721770115
ISSN0027-8424
Citation KeyLapolaPQSRKBOPMVN:2018:LiHiIm
TitleLimiting the high impacts of Amazon forest dieback with no-regrets science and policy action
Year2018
MonthNov.
Access Date2024, May 18
Type of Workjournal article
Secondary TypePRE PI
Number of Files1
Size786 KiB
2. Context
Author 1 Lapola, David M.
 2 Pinho, Patricia
 3 Quesada, Carlos A.
 4 Strassburg, Bernardo B. N.
 5 Rammig, Anja
 6 Kruijt, Bart
 7 Brown, Foster
 8 Ometto, Jean Pierre Henry Balbaud
 9 Premebida, Adriano
10 Marengo, José A.
11 Vergara, Walter
12 Nobre, Carlos Afonso
Resume Identifier 1
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12 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JGQ7
Group 1
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 8 COCST-COCST-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR
Affiliation 1 Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
 2 Stockholm University
 3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia (INPA)
 4 International Institute for Sustainability
 5 Technical University of Munich
 6 Wageningen University
 7 Universidade Federal do Acre (UFAC)
 8 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
 9 Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)
10 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN)
11 World Resources Institute
12 National Institute of Science and Technology for Climate Change
Author e-Mail Address 1 dmlapola@unicamp.br
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 8 jean.ometto@inpe.br
JournalProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United Sates of America
Volume115
Number46
Pages11671-11679
Secondary MarkA1_SAÚDE_COLETIVA A1_QUÍMICA A1_PSICOLOGIA A1_ODONTOLOGIA A1_MEDICINA_VETERINÁRIA A1_MEDICINA_III A1_MEDICINA_II A1_MEDICINA_I A1_MATEMÁTICA_/_PROBABILIDADE_E_ESTATÍSTICA A1_INTERDISCIPLINAR A1_GEOGRAFIA A1_GEOCIÊNCIAS A1_FARMÁCIA A1_ENGENHARIAS_II A1_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_III A1_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_II A1_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I A1_CIÊNCIAS_AMBIENTAIS A1_CIÊNCIAS_AGRÁRIAS_I A1_CIÊNCIA_DA_COMPUTAÇÃO A1_BIOTECNOLOGIA A1_BIODIVERSIDADE A1_ASTRONOMIA_/_FÍSICA A2_ENGENHARIAS_IV A2_ANTROPOLOGIA_/_ARQUEOLOGIA C_ZOOTECNIA_/_RECURSOS_PESQUEIROS
History (UTC)2018-11-26 15:41:29 :: simone -> administrator ::
2018-11-26 15:41:29 :: administrator -> simone :: 2018
2018-11-26 15:45:16 :: simone -> administrator :: 2018
2021-07-28 21:56:18 :: administrator -> simone :: 2018
3. Content and structure
Is the master or a copy?is the master
Content Stagecompleted
Transferable1
Content TypeExternal Contribution
Version Typepublisher
Keywordsecosystem services
agriculture
hydroelectricity generation
migration
adaptation
AbstractLarge uncertainties still dominate the hypothesis of an abrupt large-scale shift of the Amazon forest caused by climate change [Amazonian forest dieback (AFD)] even though observational evidence shows the forest and regional climate changing. Here, we assess whether mitigation or adaptation action should be taken now, later, or not at all in light of such uncertainties. No action/later action would result in major social impacts that may influence migration to large Amazonian cities through a causal chain of climate change and forest degradation leading to lower river-water levels that affect transportation, food security, and health. Net-present value socioeconomic damage over a 30-year period after AFD is estimated between US dollar (USD) $957 billion (×109) and $3,589 billion (compared with Gross Brazilian Amazon Product of USD $150 billion per year), arising primarily from changes in the provision of ecosystem services. Costs of acting now would be one to two orders of magnitude lower than economic damages. However, while AFD mitigation alternatives-e.g., curbing deforestation-are attainable (USD $64 billion), their efficacy in achieving a forest resilience that prevents AFD is uncertain. Concurrently, a proposed set of 20 adaptation measures is also attainable (USD $122 billion) and could bring benefits even if AFD never occurs. An interdisciplinary research agenda to fill lingering knowledge gaps and constrain the risk of AFD should focus on developing sound experimental and modeling evidence regarding its likelihood, integrated with socioeconomic assessments to anticipate its impacts and evaluate the feasibility and efficacy of mitigation/adaptation options.
AreaCST
Arrangementurlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > COCST > Limiting the high...
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4. Conditions of access and use
Languageen
Target Filelapola_limiting.pdf
User Groupsimone
Reader Groupadministrator
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Visibilityshown
Archiving Policydenypublisher allowfinaldraft
Read Permissiondeny from all and allow from 150.163
Update Permissionnot transferred
5. Allied materials
Next Higher Units8JMKD3MGPCW/3F3T29H
Citing Item Listsid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2013/10.19.20.40 3
sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.42.59 2
DisseminationWEBSCI; PORTALCAPES.
Host Collectionurlib.net/www/2017/11.22.19.04
6. Notes
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